I agree with your assessment. Putin is a paranoid Stalin-like dictator with a disgusting grip on the mind controlling media and spy network of snitches that puts the KGB to shame because of computers, databases and now AI. He knows well that having a Russian-related culture next door that is thriving and free and Euro-aligned is an existential threat to his leadership and now because of his actions, his life. IF he loses power now, it will be due to execution, imprisonment or something no fun. If he is alive, he could easily end up at the Hague now...handed over by Navalny or similar pro-Democracy President. I sure would love to see that.