I tend to share the alarm of what shouldn't even be remotely possible—another tRump term. However, I see several mitigating trends, regardless of polls:

1. Roe v Wade is still huge motivator of women and young people.

2. tRump is a subtractive candidate and is not growing his base but subtracting from it.

3. Actual Trials and convictions, especially a televised one WILL subtract more Independents.

4. tRump will NEVER win Georgia again and without GA, there is no electoral path for him. He also won't win Michigan or Pennsylvania. GA already re-elected anti-tRump Republicans and rejected the likes of Purdue and Walker. No turning back.

5. The economy is on track to continue improving and so Bidenomics may just become a net positive.

6. The Ukraine war could end with Russian withdrawal, erasing the Afghanistan narrative where by the way we haven't had a single casualty nor spent a dollar since leaving.