The psychological tenor of this article is from the perspective of a propagandist, not rooted in facts, but desired results. Russia is not as large as it seems (especially with a normalized non Mercator map) and its pool of young men not as deep, far more women. Ukraine is effectively similar in size to Russia when you subtract the vast wastelands out and focus on the actual old enemy, Muscovy. So subtracting the unusable nukes out we are left witnessing an increase of capability on one side and a decrease on the other due to the wealth disparity between the West, Japan, Korea and Russia.

This leads to the MANY times Russia has lost in the past, even as the Soviet Union which was bigger with more nukes. So no, Russia is not a sure bet. They will pay the consequences for decades and will never repair the black mark on the soul of Russia.

I expect Ukraine to slowly and then suddenly ratchet up pure military pressure on this goonish Russian army, cutting off supplies and then surrounding them. Russia shot its wad last year and no one is coming to the rescue. The longer they stay, the more brutal and smarter the technology to terminate them will become. There is no point for Russia to continue its misguided, foolish operation that already expanded NATO.